The wisdom of the crowd.

Showing posts with label betting markets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label betting markets. Show all posts
Friday, 1 July 2016

Libor Mk2? Were the betting markets on the EU Referendum fixed by The City to manipulate FX markets?

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Wild political and economic times breed paranoia and conspiracy theory.   Right now, people are saying the Sunday Times is sniffing around a...
Wednesday, 18 May 2016

Bet "Leave" at 11/4

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In recent days, several people have asked for my view on the EU Referendum result.  I have spent three years on a PhD looking at EU support ...
Thursday, 7 May 2015

Predicting GE 2015: Which group of forecasters should we rely upon: 'the expert crowd', 'the betting crowd' or the 'mass public crowd'?

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Author note: Albert Tapper (@mincer) was political market-maker at the Sporting Index spread betting firm for the 1997 General Election and ...
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